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 decision rule


Controlling False Discovery in Arbitrarily Structured Hypothesis Spaces via Reproducing Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Large-scale hypothesis testing is central to modern science, where controlling the False Discovery Rate (FDR) has become the standard approach to managing false positives across many simultaneous tests. Hypotheses rarely exist in isolation; they often exhibit structure through proximity, connectivity, or hierarchy. This structure represents both a challenge and an opportunity: while classical methods treat these dependencies as obstacles requiring conservative correction, leveraging them can substantially increase discovery power. Here, we reframe structured FDR control as a regularized learning problem. By optimizing within a suitable Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS), we introduce a framework that unifies continuous domains, graphs, and hierarchies under a single algorithm through kernel choice alone. This formulation enables smooth solutions in place of the piecewise-constant fits of prior methods, principled likelihood-based hyperparameter selection rather than heuristic tuning, and inference at unobserved locations which in turn supports sample-efficient experimental design. Building on this estimator, we provide two decision rules which we prove to control the FDR. We validate our method on two sources: spatial locations derived from high-dimensional real-world datasets, and a differential gene expression task utilizing protein-protein interaction graphs.


Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In many classification settings, the class of primary interest is underrepresented, leading to imbalanced data problems that arise in applications such as rare disease detection and fraud identification. In these contexts, identifying a potential positive instance typically triggers costly follow-up actions, such as medical imaging or detailed transaction inspection, which are subject to limited operational capacity. Motivated by this setting, we consider classification problems where data may arrive sequentially and decisions must be made under constraints on the number of instances that can be selected for further analysis. We propose a classification framework that explicitly controls the rate of positive predictions, enforcing a user-defined bound on the proportion of observations classified as belonging to the minority class while maximizing detection performance. The approach can be implemented using standard learning methods and naturally extends to online settings, where decisions are taken in real time. We show that incorporating capacity constraints leads to substantial improvements over classical approaches, including resampling techniques such as SMOTE, which do not directly control the selection rate.



Feature Learning for Interpretable, Performant Decision Trees

Neural Information Processing Systems

Decision trees are regarded for high interpretability arising from their hierarchical partitioning structure built on simple decision rules. However, in practice, this is not realized because axis-aligned partitioning of realistic data results in deep trees, and because ensemble methods are used to mitigate overfitting. Even then, model complexity and performance remain sensitive to transformation of the input, and extensive expert crafting of features from the raw data is common. We propose the first system to alternate sparse feature learning with differentiable decision tree construction to produce small, interpretable trees with good performance. It benchmarks favorably against conventional tree-based models and demonstrates several notions of interpretability of a model and its predictions.


Adaptive Data Debiasing through Bounded Exploration

Neural Information Processing Systems

Biases in existing datasets used to train algorithmic decision rules can raise ethical and economic concerns due to the resulting disparate treatment of different groups. We propose an algorithm for sequentially debiasing such datasets through adaptive and bounded exploration in a classification problem with costly and censored feedback. Exploration in this context means that at times, and to a judiciouslychosen extent, the decision maker deviates from its (current) loss-minimizing rule, and instead accepts some individuals that would otherwise be rejected, so as to reduce statistical data biases. Our proposed algorithm includes parameters that can be used to balance between the ultimate goal of removing data biases - which will in turn lead to more accurate and fair decisions, and the exploration risks incurred to achieve this goal. We analytically show that such exploration can help debias data in certain distributions. We further investigate how fairness criteria can work in conjunction with our data debiasing algorithm. We illustrate the performance of our algorithm using experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets.


Minimaxity and Admissibility of Bayesian Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) offer a natural probabilistic formulation for inference in deep learning models. Despite their popularity, their optimality has received limited attention through the lens of statistical decision theory. In this paper, we study decision rules induced by deep, fully connected feedforward ReLU BNNs in the normal location model under quadratic loss. We show that, for fixed prior scales, the induced Bayes decision rule is not minimax. We then propose a hyperprior on the effective output variance of the BNN prior that yields a superharmonic square-root marginal density, establishing that the resulting decision rule is simultaneously admissible and minimax. We further extend these results from the quadratic loss setting to the predictive density estimation problem with Kullback--Leibler loss. Finally, we validate our theoretical findings numerically through simulation.




Feature Learning for Interpretable, Performant Decision Trees

Neural Information Processing Systems

Points were sampled uniformly in the bands denoted by dashed lines. We posit that these barriers are due, at least in part, to the sensitivity of decision trees to transformations of the input resulting from greedy construction and simple decision rules. Of these, key limitation is the latter; even if we replace greedy construction with a perfect tree learner, simple distributions can nonetheless require an arbitrarily large axis-aligned tree to fit.